How many international visitor arrivals to the US will there be in 2024?

Started May 10, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO) of the US International Trade Administration (ITA) expects international visitation to the US to continue to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic (US International Trade Administration). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data for 2024 as first reported by the NTTO's ADIS/I-94 Visitor Arrivals Monitor (COR) for all of 2024 ( Near the bottom of this page, click the arrow to the right of "1 of 7" for monthly and historical data. In 2023, total US arrivals were 66,481,888, higher than 2022 but still below the pre-pandemic total of nearly 80 million in 2019. Data from 2018 to now are available using the filter functionality (click the funnel icon on the left side of the page).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Fewer than 62 million 1.70% -0.30% +1.00%
At least 62 million, but fewer than 68 million 5.30% -1.70% -28.80%
At least 68 million, but fewer than 74 million 48.00% -1.00% +10.50%
At least 74 million, but fewer than 80 million 27.30% -3.70% +3.60%
80 million or more 17.70% +6.70% +13.70%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username