Foxes ask:
Before 21 January 2025, will a US federal court issue declaratory and/or injunctive relief preventing the enforcement of the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act (TikTok divest-or-ban law) against TikTok and/or ByteDance?
Closed Jan 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC
On 24 April 2024, the TikTok divest-or-ban bill became law, which gives TikTok and its parent company, ByteDance, 270 days to comply or divest, with a possible 90-day extension (NPR, Congress.gov - H.R. 815). On 7 May 2024, TikTok and ByteDance sued, claiming that the law is unconstitutional (The Hill, Courthouse News - TikTok/ByteDance). A preliminary or permanent injunction preventing enforcement would count, as would a declaratory judgment that the law is unconstitutional. Appeals subsequent to the issuance of relief is immaterial.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 21 January 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | |
| No | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 30 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 176 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 142 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 516 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
