What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 21 January 2025?

Started May 17, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 19 January 2025 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 13 May 2024, the yield was 4.48%.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 2.25% 0.40% 0% -0.10% -8.69%
At least 2.25%, but less than 2.75% 0.80% 0% -0.10% -8.29%
At least 2.75%, but less than 3.25% 4.20% +0.10% +1.90% -4.89%
At least 3.25%, but less than 3.75% 20.70% -0.90% +3.60% +11.61%
At least 3.75%, but less than 4.25% 33.00% -3.00% -0.70% +23.91%
At least 4.25%, but less than 4.75% 23.20% +0.90% -10.50% +14.11%
At least 4.75%, but less than 5.25% 8.10% +1.60% +0.10% -0.99%
At least 5.25%, but less than 5.75% 5.90% +0.70% +3.70% -3.19%
At least 5.75%, but less than 6.25% 2.50% +0.40% +1.90% -6.59%
At least 6.25%, but less than 6.75% 1.20% +0.20% +0.70% -7.89%
6.75% or more 0% 0% -0.50% -9.09%

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