What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 21 January 2025?
Started
May 17, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 19 January 2025 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 13 May 2024, the yield was 4.48%.
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The question closed "At least 4.25%, but less than 4.75%" with a closing date of 21 January 2025.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 2.25% | 0% | |
At least 2.25%, but less than 2.75% | 0% | |
At least 2.75%, but less than 3.25% | 0% | |
At least 3.25%, but less than 3.75% | 0% | |
At least 3.75%, but less than 4.25% | 0% | |
At least 4.25%, but less than 4.75% | 88% | |
At least 4.75%, but less than 5.25% | 12% | |
At least 5.25%, but less than 5.75% | 0% | |
At least 5.75%, but less than 6.25% | 0% | |
At least 6.25%, but less than 6.75% | 0% | |
6.75% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 45 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 184 | |
Number of Forecasts | 399 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 534 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |