What will be the annualized rate of US housing starts for November 2024?

Started Jun 21, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The rate of housing starts, a measure of new home construction in the US, hit a nearly four-year low in May 2024 as interest rates continued to price many potential homebuyers out of the market (Yahoo [Reuters]). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2024 and the outcome determined using data provided by the US Census Bureau as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database for May 2024, typically in December (FRED). As of the launch of this question, FRED reported that the annualized rate of US housing starts was 1.510 million in November 2023.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Fewer than 1.00 million 9.00% 0% -1.60%
At least 1.00 million, but fewer than 1.15 million 11.00% -1.50% -0.40%
At least 1.15 million, but fewer than 1.30 million 24.00% -1.30% +4.80%
At least 1.30 million, but fewer than 1.45 million 25.80% +0.70% -6.10%
At least 1.45 million, but fewer than 1.60 million 17.60% +1.20% +1.90%
At least 1.60 million, but fewer than 1.75 million 11.20% +0.80% +1.20%
1.75 million or more 1.40% +0.10% +0.20%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username