erikbays asks:

When will the closing price for gold per troy ounce reach or exceed $2,500, according to Trading Economics?

Started Jul 12, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 16, 2024 09:00PM UTC

Gold prices have risen in 2024 amid tightening supply and growing demand from central banks (Yahoo [Reuters], CNBC, Axios). The outcome determined using price data (USD/t. oz) as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics).

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The question closed "Before 7 September 2024" with a closing date of 16 August 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 7 September 2024 79%
Between 7 September 2024 and 1 November 2024 10%
Between 2 November 2024 and 27 December 2024 3%
Between 28 December 2024 and 21 February 2025 2%
Not before 22 February 2025 6%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 35
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 164
Number of Forecasts 198
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 432
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.247711
2.
-0.224607
3.
-0.224393
4.
-0.206219
5.
-0.206153

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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