Will the Dakota Access Pipeline begin transporting oil before January 2018?

Started Dec 09, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Challenges

The Dakota Access Pipeline is a 1,172 mile pipeline built to transport oil from the Bakken shale oil fields of North Dakota to Illinois (Energy Transfer Partners, L.P.). Originally scheduled to be operational by the end of 2016, its completion has been stalled by protests (NY Times) and a US Army Corps of Engineer report (CNBC). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also try forecasting on whether the DAPA program will be implemented prior to inauguration day, whether the Trans-Pacific Partnership will be ratified by Congress before 20 January 2017, or whether farmland values in the Seventh Federal Reserve District will be higher in the first quarter of 2017 than they were in first quarter of 2016.
This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 1 June 2017 (Washington Post, Energy Transfer Partners). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 99.00%
No 1.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 390
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 1289
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.439
2.
-0.436
3.
-0.428
4.
-0.426
5.
-0.414

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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