When will the closing value for the US dollar to Chinese renminbi (aka yuan) exchange rate reach or exceed 7.60?

Started Dec 18, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Amid the specter of a trade war with the US as a new administration comes to power, observers see the potential of China allowing its currency to further depreciate (CNBC, US News & World Report). The outcome will be determined using data as reported in the US (your location in the world may impact how the site dates prices) by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

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The question closed "Not before 30 December 2025" with a closing date of 30 December 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 23 March 2025 0%
Between 23 March 2025 and 24 June 2025 0%
Between 25 June 2025 and 26 September 2025 0%
Between 27 September 2025 and 29 December 2025 2%
Not before 30 December 2025 98%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 47
Average for questions older than 6 months: 156
Number of Forecasts 226
Average for questions older than 6 months: 464
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.33562
2.
-0.3259
3.
-0.320775
4.
-0.258888
5.
-0.252201

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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