Between April 2025 and December 2025, will the China Labour Bulletin (CLB) report 260 or more worker actions in a single calendar month?
Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
President Trump's imposition of major tariffs on Chinese goods is expected to hit the Chinese labor market (Yahoo [Bloomberg]). The CLB is an NGO that, among other things, tracks worker actions (e.g., strikes and protests) in the People's Republic of China (CLB). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using data as reported by the CLB in its Strike Map (CLB - Strike Map). To download the data, select the relevant ranges for "Date," and "All" for "Location" and "Industry," click "Search" and then "Export." Data will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 16 January 2026. As of the launch of this question, the highest number of worker actions in a single month since 2017 was 239 in November 2023.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.