What will be the value of the Federal Reserve's trade-weighted US dollar index for emerging market economies on 12 December 2025?

Started Jul 11, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 12, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The value of the US dollar as compared to other currencies fell substantially in the first half of 2025 (CNBC, Newsweek). The Federal Reserve publishes US dollar indices that track the relative value of the dollar versus foreign currencies weighted by countries' level of trade with the US (Federal Reserve Dollar Indexes). The question will be suspended on 11 December 2025 and the outcome determined using nominal index data as published by the Federal Reserve, expected on 15 December 2025 (FRED).

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The question closed "At least 130.00, but less than 133.00" with a closing date of 12 December 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 118.00 10%
At least 118.00, but less than 121.00 10%
At least 121.00, but less than 124.00 1%
At least 124.00, but less than 127.00 1%
At least 127.00, but less than 130.00 18%
At least 130.00, but less than 133.00 57%
At least 133.00, but less than 136.00 1%
At least 136.00, but less than 139.00 1%
At least 139.00, but less than 142.00 1%
At least 142.00, but less than 145.00 0%
145.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 13
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.132486
2.
-0.113441
3.
-0.072369
4.
-0.067412
5.
-0.002624

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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