What will be the value of the Federal Reserve's trade-weighted US dollar index for emerging market economies on 12 December 2025?
Started
Jul 11, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2025 08:01AM UTC
The value of the US dollar as compared to other currencies fell substantially in the first half of 2025 (CNBC, Newsweek). The Federal Reserve publishes US dollar indices that track the relative value of the dollar versus foreign currencies weighted by countries' level of trade with the US (Federal Reserve Dollar Indexes). The question will be suspended on 11 December 2025 and the outcome determined using nominal index data as published by the Federal Reserve, expected on 15 December 2025 (FRED).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 118.00 | 10.00% | 0% | 0% | -0.50% |
| At least 118.00, but less than 121.00 | 10.00% | 0% | 0% | -0.50% |
| At least 121.00, but less than 124.00 | 0.50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 124.00, but less than 127.00 | 3.00% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 127.00, but less than 130.00 | 29.70% | -0.10% | +1.90% | -4.80% |
| At least 130.00, but less than 133.00 | 35.60% | +1.10% | +0.10% | +13.60% |
| At least 133.00, but less than 136.00 | 2.70% | -1.00% | -2.00% | -6.80% |
| At least 136.00, but less than 139.00 | 2.50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 139.00, but less than 142.00 | 3.50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 142.00, but less than 145.00 | 2.00% | 0% | 0% | -0.50% |
| 145.00 or more | 0.50% | 0% | 0% | -0.50% |