What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July 2026?
Closing Aug 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
In July 2025, US inflation was elevated above the Federal Reserve's stated target of 2%, but it had remained cooler than some observers were expecting amid tariff impacts (CNBC, Yahoo [Reuters]). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2026 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change for July 2026 as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for "All items" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in August 2026 (FRED, click "EDIT GRAPH" and change "Units" to "Percent Change from Year Ago"). As of the launch of this question, the change for July 2025 was 2.73180%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up by less than 0.600% or down | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Up by at least 0.600%, but less than 1.300% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Up by at least 1.300%, but less than 2.000% | 1.10% | 0% | +0.50% | +0.30% |
| Up by at least 2.000%, but less than 2.700% | 22.50% | 0% | +1.50% | -9.30% |
| Up by at least 2.700%, but less than 3.400% | 57.00% | 0% | -0.80% | +13.80% |
| Up by at least 3.400%, but less than 4.100% | 17.50% | 0% | -1.20% | 0% |
| Up by at least 4.100%, but less than 4.800% | 1.90% | 0% | 0% | -2.80% |
| Up by at least 4.800%, but less than 5.500% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.00% |
| Up by at least 5.500%, but less than 6.200% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.00% |
| Up by 6.200% or more | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |