Started Dec 08, 2015 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC

Will either Turkey or Russia officially suspend or cancel the Akkuyu nuclear power plant project before the end of 2016?

This question was closed on "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.


The fallout from Turkey's downing of a Russian aircraft in November 2015 could have significant ramifications for economic cooperation between the two countries, including disruption of major energy initiatives like the Akkuyu nuclear power plant project (CNBC, Reuters, Al Bawaba, Newsweek). Recommended Questions Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 in response to actions taken by Russia before 1 January 2017? Will the expanded Panama Canal open to shipping before 15 May 2016? Will Turkey impose capital controls before 1 December 2016?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 420
Average for questions older than 6 months: 238
Number of Forecasts 2045
Average for questions older than 6 months: 658
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.106
3.
-0.102
4.
-0.1
5.
-0.097

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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