Sort By

The Mack Institute asks:

Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will a firm or paid backup driver operating a self-driving vehicle face criminal charges in relation to an accident involving a self-driving vehicle in the U.S.?

46 Forecasters • 69 Forecasts
Started Jul 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, a firm
11%
Yes, a paid backup driver
5%
Yes, both
4%
No
80%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many new energy vehicles (NEVs) will be sold in China in 2021 and 2022 combined?

25 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Jul 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 2.2 million
6%
Between 2.2 million and 2.8 million, inclusive
28%
More than 2.8 million but fewer than 3.4 million
55%
Between 3.4 million and 4.0 million, inclusive
11%
More than 4.0 million
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many public DC fast charge electric vehicle charging stations will be available in the United States by 31 December 2022?

18 Forecasters • 56 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 5,300
0%
Between 5,300 and 5,700, inclusive
27%
More than 5,700 but fewer than 6,100
53%
Between 6,100 and 6,500, inclusive
16%
More than 6,500
4%
The Mack Institute asks:

Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will legislation enabling the creation of federal safety standards for autonomous vehicles (AVs) become law?

60%

Chance
81 Forecasters • 117 Forecasts
Started Jun 16, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC
The Mack Institute asks:

How many total Model 3 and Model Y vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in 2021 and 2022?

55 Forecasters • 94 Forecasts
Started Jun 05, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 700,000
0%
Between 700,000 and 1,200,000, inclusive
72%
More than 1,200,000 but fewer than 1,700,000
27%
Between 1,700,000 and 2,200,000, inclusive
1%
More than 2,200,000
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many total Fast Charge (>22kW) public charging points for electric vehicles will be installed in the European Union by 31 December 2022?

49 Forecasters • 102 Forecasts
Started May 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 25,000
0%
Between 25,000 and 30,000, inclusive
22%
More than 30,000 but less than 35,000
47%
Between 35,000 and 40,000, inclusive
25%
More than 40,000
6%
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will sell a self-driving passenger vehicle manufactured without a steering wheel?

148 Forecasters • 211 Forecasts
Started May 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
99%
1
1%
2
0%
3 or more
0%
The Mack Institute asks

What will be the 2022 industry-wide average cost of Li-ion batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles?

75 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 08:00AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $80 per kWh
6%
Between $80 and $100 per kWh, inclusive
33%
More than $100 but less than $120 per kWh
50%
Between $120 and $140 per kWh, inclusive
11%
More than $140 per kWh
0%
The Mack Institute asks

What total percentage of global vehicle sales in 2022 will be battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs)?

118 Forecasters • 193 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 08:00AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.5%
0%
Between 2.5% and 4.5%, inclusive
44%
More than 4.5% but less than 6.5%
42%
Between 6.5% and 8.5%, inclusive
14%
More than 8.5%
0%