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The Mack Institute asks:

How many Cybertrucks will Tesla deliver to customers in 2022?

80 Forecasters • 262 Forecasts
Started Aug 21, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 25,000
59%
Between 25,000 and 100,000, inclusive
33%
More than 100,000 but fewer than 175,000
8%
Between 175,000 and 250,000, inclusive
0%
More than 250,000
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon or a subsidiary use a Zoox autonomous vehicle to deliver a package and/or for a public ride-hailing service?

78 Forecasters • 197 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Yes, only to deliver a package but not for a public ride-hailing service
47%
Yes, only a for public ride-hailing service but not to deliver a package
1%
Yes, both to deliver a package and for a public ride-hailing service
12%
No
40%
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will debut a passenger vehicle powered by a solid-state battery?

56 Forecasters • 203 Forecasts
Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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0
2%
1 or 2
42%
3 or 4
42%
5 or 6
7%
7 or more
7%
The Mack Institute asks:

Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will a firm or paid backup driver operating a self-driving vehicle face criminal charges in relation to an accident involving a self-driving vehicle in the U.S.?

71 Forecasters • 181 Forecasts
Started Jul 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Yes, a firm
5%
Yes, a paid backup driver
5%
Yes, both
1%
No
89%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many new energy vehicles (NEVs) will be sold in China in 2021 and 2022 combined?

45 Forecasters • 170 Forecasts
Started Jul 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 2.2 million
0%
Between 2.2 million and 2.8 million, inclusive
0%
More than 2.8 million but fewer than 3.4 million
45%
Between 3.4 million and 4.0 million, inclusive
42%
More than 4.0 million
13%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many public DC fast charge electric vehicle charging stations will be available in the United States by 31 December 2022?

29 Forecasters • 161 Forecasts
Started Jul 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 5,300
0%
Between 5,300 and 5,700, inclusive
0%
More than 5,700 but fewer than 6,100
79%
Between 6,100 and 6,500, inclusive
21%
More than 6,500
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will legislation enabling the creation of federal safety standards for autonomous vehicles (AVs) become law?

71%

Chance
95 Forecasters • 202 Forecasts
Started Jun 16, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Mack Institute asks:

How many total Model 3 and Model Y vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in 2021 and 2022?

67 Forecasters • 227 Forecasts
Started Jun 05, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 700,000
0%
Between 700,000 and 1,200,000, inclusive
10%
More than 1,200,000 but fewer than 1,700,000
65%
Between 1,700,000 and 2,200,000, inclusive
25%
More than 2,200,000
0%
The Mack Institute asks:

How many total Fast Charge (>22kW) public charging points for electric vehicles will be installed in the European Union by 31 December 2022?

64 Forecasters • 221 Forecasts
Started May 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 25,000
0%
Between 25,000 and 30,000, inclusive
0%
More than 30,000 but less than 35,000
10%
Between 35,000 and 40,000, inclusive
37%
More than 40,000
53%
The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will sell a self-driving passenger vehicle manufactured without a steering wheel?

183 Forecasters • 334 Forecasts
Started May 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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0
99%
1
1%
2
0%
3 or more
0%
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