Good Judgment® Open

When will the "land bridge" between Crimea and Russia be severed, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)?

Closing Jul 30, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 63 · 111

Will territory in any Ukrainian oblast that borders Belarus cease to be under Ukrainian control before 1 May 2024, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

Closing May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 65 · 99

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2024, will NATO or a NATO member state publicly accuse Russia of attacking a crewed, non-Ukrainian-flagged vessel in the Black Sea outside of Ukrainian and Russian territorial waters?

Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 66 · 134

What will be the price of natural gas in Europe on 16 February 2024?

Closing Feb 16, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 42 · 95

Will the city council building in Melitopol, Ukraine, be under Ukrainian control on 1 April 2024, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

Closing Apr 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 50 · 140

When will Sweden become a member of NATO?

Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 64 · 241

Will Ukraine's Corruption Perceptions Index score rise in 2023 as compared to 2022, according to Transparency International?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 71 · 171

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 May 2024, will Russia or Belarus detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian and Belarusian territory or airspace?

Closing May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 86 · 173

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 15 September 2023 and 30 April 2024, will Russia or Belarus publicly announce that it has moved a nuclear weapon or weapons into Ukraine?

Closing May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 74 · 181

When will the Council of the European Union (Council) declare a "Union alert" triggering a mandatory, EU-wide reduction in natural gas consumption?

Closing Apr 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC · 50 · 163