Good Judgment® Open

Will the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) authorize SpaceX to launch a third flight of Starship Super Heavy before 1 January 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 21 · 27

Will COP28 result in an agreement that includes explicit language committing to phase out all fossil fuels for energy production by a specific date?

Closing Dec 12, 2023 08:01AM UTC · 64 · 97

Will the "natural growth rate" of the population of China in 2023 be negative?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 95 · 123

Will an end to diplomatic relations between Israel and Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, and/or the UAE be officially announced before 1 January 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 60 · 168

Will the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) invade Lebanon with tanks and/or armored vehicles before 13 December 2023?

Closing Dec 13, 2023 08:01AM UTC · 127 · 401

Between 9 October 2023 and 28 December 2023, how many Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza Strip will be killed by Israeli forces, according to B’Tselem?

Closing Dec 29, 2023 08:01AM UTC · 55 · 236

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 1 October 2023 and 31 December 2023, how many total violent conflict events will occur in Northern Mali, according to ACLED?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 17 · 48

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 1 October 2023 and 31 December 2023, how many total fatalities will occur in Somalia due to conflicts and protests, according to ACLED?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 16 · 49

How many total Southwest Land Border Encounters will be reported in the US from October 2023 through December 2023 by US Customs and Border Protection (CBP)?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 15 · 52

Will Ukraine's Corruption Perceptions Index score rise in 2023 as compared to 2022, according to Transparency International?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC · 71 · 170