Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Adam Grant asks:

Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021?

After the US Senate voted against a $15.00 an hour federal minimum wage, proponents have shifted to new strategies (The Hill, WSJ). The current federal minimum wage is $7.25 per hour (Cornell, US Dept. of Labor). The effective date of a raise would be immaterial.

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NOTE 5 April 2021:  Changes to the tipped minimum wage alone would not count.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 20 August 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

267

Forecast
Count

588

Crowd Brier Score

0.0019


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.002
2.
-0.002
3.
-0.002
4.
-0.002
5.
-0.002

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