Before 1 January 2022, will the European Commission (EC) recommend that the Council of the European Union authorize the EC to open negotiations with Taiwan on an investment agreement?

Started Jul 09, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

As diplomatic tensions between the EU and the People's Republic of China (PRC) have risen, there is a push within EU institutions to begin negotiations on a bilateral investment agreement with Taiwan (Politico.eu, European Parliament). While the EC conducts trade negotiations, it must first receive authorization from the Council (EC, European Parliament - Question to Commission, European Parliament - Commission Response). In 2013, the Commission made its proposal to the Council to open negotiations with the PRC on what would become the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment, for which an agreement in principle was reached in December 2020 (EC, EC).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 98
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 225
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

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-0.001
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-0.001
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-0.001
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-0.001
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-0.001

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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