Started Feb 26, 2022 05:30PM UTC   •   Closed Mar 14, 2022 02:43PM UTC

Kinnaj asks:

Between 27 February 2022 and 27 August 2022, will Russia be restricted or banned from access to the SWIFT banking system?

Amid various sanctions being imposed against Russia in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine, countries are considering whether to block Russian access to SWIFT (BBC, CBS News, Financial Times). A SWIFT ban on one or more Russian institutions would count. For more information on the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication see https://www.swift.com/about_swift/index, https://www.swift.com/about-us/legal/compliance-0/swift-and-sanctions.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 11 March 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 100.00%
No 0.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 179
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 224
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

5.
0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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