Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 25, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Jayce asks:

What will be the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US for the week ending 25 April 2022?

The price of gasoline in the US hit all-time highs in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine (Car and Driver, CBS News). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) for "Weekly U.S. All Grades All Formulations Retail Gasoline Prices" (EIA, see table).

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The question closed "More than 4.200 but less than 4.500" with a closing date of 25 April 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 3.300 0%
Between 3.300 and 3.600, inclusive 0%
More than 3.600 but less than 3.900 0%
Between 3.900 and 4.200, inclusive 95%
More than 4.200 but less than 4.500 5%
Between 4.500 and 4.800, inclusive 0%
More than 4.800 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 70
Average for questions older than 6 months: 250
Number of Forecasts 270
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.129
3.
-0.113
4.
-0.097
5.
-0.094

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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