Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will all seven states that share the Colorado River Basin sign a proposal to the Bureau of Reclamation agreeing on Colorado River water usage cuts before 1 August 2023?

Started Feb 17, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

On 31 January 2023, six of the seven states (California didn't participate) that share the Colorado River Basin submitted a proposal to cut back on water usage from the river to help ensure that minimum levels in reservoirs on the river are maintained (UPI, NPR - Northern Colorado, Southern Nevada Water Authority). California offered its own proposal, but there is no consensus among the seven states (AP, The Hill).

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NOTE 20 February 2023: All seven states must sign the same proposal for it to count.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 52.85% -3.84% -14.00% +32.33%
No 47.15% +3.84% +14.00% -32.33%

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