Yuhan asks:
What will be the total value of trade between Australia and China in the first four months of 2024?
Closed May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
As relations between Australia and China have thawed in recent years, trade has increased between the two countries (US News & World Report, Yahoo, Prime Minister of Australia). The question will be suspended on 30 April 2024 and outcome determined using data as reported by China's General Administration of Customs when data for April 2024 are first available (Stats.customs.gov.cn). On the site, 1) set "Flow" to "Import and Export," 2) set "Currency" to "US dollar," 3) set "Period" for the appropriate date ranges, 4) check the "By month" box, 5) set the first "Select" row to "Select partner," 6) enter "601" into the field to the immediate right of "Select partner," and 7) click "Enquiry." Click "Confirm" in the notification box that comes up, then complete the captcha puzzle. For historical data current as of the launch of this question, download: https://goodjudgment.io/docs/Australia_China_Trade_Data_2018-2023YTD_28_November_2023.xlsx. As of the launch of this question, China's General Administration of Customs reported the total value of trade between Australia and China in the first four months of 2023 to be $77.865 billion.
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The question closed "More than $68 billion but less than $74 billion" with a closing date of 1 May 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than $62 billion | 7% | |
Between $62 billion and $68 billion, inclusive | 0% | |
More than $68 billion but less than $74 billion | 38% | |
Between $74 billion and $80 billion, inclusive | 53% | |
More than $80 billion but less than $86 billion | 2% | |
Between $86 billion and $92 billion, inclusive | 0% | |
More than $92 billion | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 37 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 156 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |