Captbullett asks:

Will Nippon Steel Corporation's (NSC's) acquisition of US Steel close before 1 January 2025?

Started Dec 29, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

On 18 December 2023, NSC and US Steel announced the former would acquire the latter in an all-cash deal valued at about $15 billion, which the two expect "to close in the second or third quarter of calendar year 2024" subject to US Steel shareholder approval (US Steel, BBC). The question would close early if both NSC and US Steel announce that they have called off the acquisition.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1%
No 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 55
Average for questions older than 6 months: 181
Number of Forecasts 289
Average for questions older than 6 months: 528
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.178463
2.
-0.172834
3.
-0.16713
4.
-0.151551
5.
-0.148496

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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