What will be the US annual real GDP growth rate for the third quarter of 2024?

Started May 31, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 30 September 2024 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED), expected in late October 2024 (FRED, BEA). As of the launch of this question, the real GDP growth rate for the third quarter of 2023 was 4.9%.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Down by more than 3.0% 0.75% 0% +0.69% +0.75%
Down by more than 1.5% but at most 3.0% 0.81% 0% +0.50% -0.19%
Down by more than 0.0% but at most 1.5% 5.56% -0.63% +0.50% -2.44%
Up by at least 0.0%, but less than 1.5% 52.31% +0.31% -3.00% +4.31%
Up by at least 1.5%, but less than 3.0% 35.19% +0.63% -0.44% +5.19%
Up by at least 3.0%, but less than 4.5% 2.88% -0.31% -0.06% -2.12%
Up by 4.5% or more 2.50% 0% +1.81% -5.50%

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