What will be the US annual real GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2025?
Closed Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 31 March 2025 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED), expected in late April 2025 (FRED, BEA - Release Schedule). As of the launch of this question, the real GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2024 was 1.6%.
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The question closed "Down by more than 0.0% but at most 1.0%" with a closing date of 1 April 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Down by more than 1.0% | 3% | |
| Down by more than 0.0% but at most 1.0% | 10% | |
| Up by at least 0.0%, but less than 1.0% | 24% | |
| Up by at least 1.0%, but less than 2.0% | 39% | |
| Up by at least 2.0%, but less than 3.0% | 22% | |
| Up by 3.0% or more | 2% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 46 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 250 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
