What will be the value of US exports to China in the second quarter (April, May, and June) of 2025?
Closed Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Trade tensions between the US and China have continued to escalate since the beginning of President Trump's second term (BBC, MSN [Wall Street Journal]). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the US Census Bureau once data for June 2025 are first reported (Census Bureau). In the second quarter of 2024, the value of US exports to China was $33,901.1 million, or $33.9011 billion.
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The question closed "At least $22 billion, but less than $26 billion" with a closing date of 1 July 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $14 billion | 1% | |
| At least $14 billion, but less than $18 billion | 5% | |
| At least $18 billion, but less than $22 billion | 10% | |
| At least $22 billion, but less than $26 billion | 35% | |
| At least $26 billion, but less than $30 billion | 35% | |
| At least $30 billion, but less than $34 billion | 12% | |
| At least $34 billion, but less than $38 billion | 2% | |
| $38 billion or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 36 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 85 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
