What will happen next with regard to the value of the informal US dollar to Argentine peso exchange rate (aka "blue dollar" rate)?
Started
Sep 26, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 28, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Closing Mar 28, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
The Argentine peso recovered from historic lows against the US dollar in late September 2025 as the US said that it would consider intervening to stabilize the country's monetary and financial systems (BBC, Yahoo [Reuters]). The question will be suspended on 27 March 2026 if still open and the outcome determined using chart data as reported by Blue Dollar (Blue Dollar, set "Zoom" to "1W").
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The exchange rate will be reported as 1,225 or lower | 8.70% | 0% | 0% | +2.20% |
| The exchange rate will be reported as 1,575 or higher | 57.30% | 0% | -1.40% | -4.30% |
| Neither will occur before 28 March 2026 | 34.00% | 0% | +1.40% | +2.10% |