Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021?

The latest trade agreement between the United States and China was the so-called “Phase One” agreement signed in January 2020 (U.S. Trade Representative, CNBC, Reuters, FOX Business, Reuters).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

271

Forecast
Count

543

Crowd Brier Score

0.0029


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.003
2.
-0.003
4.
-0.003
5.
-0.003

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