Question 55 of 129 in In the News 2021
Started Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop and erikbays ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA?

Obstacles standing in the way of the U.S. rejoining the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) include the issues of current U.S. sanctions against Iran and Iran's resumed production of highly enriched uranium (Atlantic Council, BBCWashington Post, Federation of American Scientists).

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Name Probability
Yes 57%

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