What will be the US annual real GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2023?
Started
Oct 28, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical instability are all headwinds for the US economy going into 2023 (US News & World Report, CNN). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED), expected in April 2023 (FRED).
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This question has ended, but is awaiting resolution by an admin.
| Possible Answer | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|
| Lower by more than 3.0% | 0% |
| Lower by between 1.5% and 3.0%, inclusive | 2% |
| Lower by more than 0.0% but less than 1.5% | 10% |
| Higher by between 0.0% and 1.5%, inclusive | 50% |
| Higher by more than 1.5% but less than 3.0% | 34% |
| Higher by 3.0% or more | 4% |