What will be the US annual real GDP growth rate for the third quarter of 2023?
Closed Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical instability are all headwinds for the US economy in 2023 (CBS News, CNBC, AP). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED), expected in October 2023 (FRED, BEA - Release Schedule).
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The question closed "Higher by 3.0% or more" with a closing date of 1 October 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower by more than 3.0% | 0% | |
| Lower by between 1.5% and 3.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Lower by more than 0.0% but less than 1.5% | 0% | |
| Higher by between 0.0% and 1.5%, inclusive | 2% | |
| Higher by more than 1.5% but less than 3.0% | 30% | |
| Higher by 3.0% or more | 68% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 32 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 229 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
