SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the closing value of the US dollar/Russian ruble exchange rate on 19 January 2024?

Started Jul 14, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 19, 2024 08:01AM UTC

While the ruble showed resilience in the early months of Russia's war in Ukraine, the currency has fallen considerably in mid-2023 (CNN, Newsweek, Yahoo Finance). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

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The question closed "Higher than 85.00 but lower than 100.00" with a closing date of 19 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 70.00 0%
Between 70.00 and 85.00, inclusive 3%
Higher than 85.00 but lower than 100.00 96%
Between 100.00 and 115.00, inclusive 1%
More than 115.00 but lower than 130.00 0%
130.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 58
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 508
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.113012
3.
-0.085514
4.
-0.084307
5.
-0.083161

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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