What will be the US annual real GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2024?

Started Mar 01, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The US economy has remained resilient despite headwinds including interest rates and geopolitical instability (Axios). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2024 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED), expected in late July 2024 (FRED, BEA). As of the launch of this question, the real GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2023 was 2.1%.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Down by more than 3.0% 0% 0% 0% -0.10%
Down by more than 1.5% but at most 3.0% 1.00% 0% 0% +0.65%
Down by more than 0.0% but at most 1.5% 5.00% 0% 0% +3.15%
Up by at least 0.0%, but less than 1.5% 20.00% 0% -2.00% -0.20%
Up by at least 1.5%, but less than 3.0% 67.00% -1.00% +1.00% +5.50%
Up by 3.0% or more 7.00% +1.00% +1.00% -9.00%

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