What will be the closing value of the US dollar/Russian ruble exchange rate on 27 December 2024?

Started Aug 23, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 27, 2024 08:01AM UTC

As Russia's war with Ukraine continues, Western sanctions are continuing to put pressure on the Russian financial system as the country grows more dependent on China for trade (Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Newsweek, Business Insider). The question will be suspended on 26 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set to "6M").

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The question closed "At least 105.00, but less than 115.00" with a closing date of 27 December 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 75.00 0%
At least 75.00, but less than 85.00 0%
At least 85.00, but less than 95.00 1%
At least 95.00, but less than 105.00 89%
At least 105.00, but less than 115.00 8%
At least 115.00, but less than 125.00 1%
125.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 40
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 338
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 424
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.201046
2.
-0.183588
3.
-0.134103
4.
-0.129048
5.
-0.109819

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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