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Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 marks the largest international armed conflict in Europe in decades. The ripples of the conflict for the future of Ukraine will be felt around the region and the world for years to come.
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Question
When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
212
·
785
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 15 September 2023 and 30 April 2024, will Russia or Belarus publicly announce that it has moved a nuclear weapon or weapons into Ukraine?
Closing
May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
127
·
467
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 May 2024, will Russia or Belarus detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian and Belarusian territory or airspace?
Closing
May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
149
·
439
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2024, will NATO or a NATO member state publicly accuse Russia of attacking a crewed, non-Ukrainian-flagged vessel in the Black Sea outside of Ukrainian and Russian territorial waters?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
113
·
406
When will the "land bridge" between Crimea and Russia be severed, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)?
Closing
Jul 30, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
115
·
383
Will territory in any Ukrainian oblast that borders Belarus cease to be under Ukrainian control before 1 May 2024, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
Closing
May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
111
·
331
Will any territory in Crimea that was Russian-controlled before 24 February 2022 cease to be under "Assessed Russian Control" before 15 August 2024, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)?
Closing
Aug 15, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
127
·
322
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces and/or law enforcement of Russia and those of a NATO member state resulting in at least three fatalities before 1 September 2024?
Closing
Sep 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
133
·
264
Before 6 July 2024, will American journalist Evan Gershkovich leave Russia?
Closing
Jul 06, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
67
·
145
How much liquified natural gas (LNG) will the US export between January 2024 and June 2024?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
21
·
105
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