Question 112 of 117 in In the News 2020
Started Dec 13, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 27, 2020 08:01AM UTC

What will be the U.S. domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for the next James Bond film No Time to Die?


No Time to Die, starring Daniel Craig for the fifth time as James Bond, is the 25th installment in the Bond movie franchise (Economist, IMDB). The outcome will be determined with "Domestic Weekend" data for the film's first full weekend (Friday to Sunday) as reported by Box Office Mojo (BoxOfficeMojo). The opening weekends for the last two Bond films totaled:  

Skyfall (2012): $88,364,714 (BoxOfficeMojo)

Spectre (2015): $70,403,148 (BoxOfficeMojo)

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NOTE 21 July 2020: If the release of No Time to Die is postponed to a date after 2020, the question will be voided and a revised question considered for future launch.

NOTE 16 June 2020: In order to accommodate the continued meandering of the release date (changed [again] to 20 November 2020), we have adjusted the language above to accommodate future changes. As was always the case, the full weekend (Friday to Sunday) including or after the release date will determine the outcome.

NOTE 5 March 2020: As some of you are aware, the producers of No Time to Die have postponed the release of the film in the U.S. to 25 November 2020 due to COVID-19 concerns (BBC). As such, we have adjusted the suspend date to reflect the new release date. Since this is beyond the time frame for the Economist challenge, the question will only continue as a question only in In the News. The outcome will now be determined by data for the days of 27-29 November.

Name Probability
No Time to Die will gross as much or less than Spectre ($70,403,148) 72%
No Time to Die will gross more than Spectre but less than Skyfall ($88,364,714) 17%
No Time to Die will gross as much or more than Skyfall 11%

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