Columbus and Tim Harford ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany?

Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

The Nord Stream 2 pipeline could begin delivering natural gas from Russia to Germany later this year despite opposition from multiple groups (BBC, CNN, Bloomberg, Nord-stream2.com). Testing alone would not count. Delivery through either string of pipe would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 115
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 563
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.671
2.
-0.671
5.
-0.583

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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