Before 15 January 2023, will federal legislation that would force the social media app TikTok to cease operating in the US become law?
Closed Jan 15, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Amid continuing concerns that TikTok could be used by the Chinese government to spy on Americans, a bill was introduced in Congress that would effectively ban the app from being used in the US (US News & World Report, Rubio.Senate.gov, The Week). The date the legislation would take effect would be immaterial, and the exact duration of TikTok not being able to operate in the US would be immaterial. The legislation need not explicitly name TikTok to count so long as the legislation's applicability to TikTok is clear.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 January 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||93|
|Average for questions in their first 6 months: 202|
|Number of Forecasts||150|
|Average for questions in their first 6 months: 511|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||average|