Ossipon asks:

Before 15 January 2023, will federal legislation that would force the social media app TikTok to cease operating in the US become law?

Started Dec 16, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 15, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Amid continuing concerns that TikTok could be used by the Chinese government to spy on Americans, a bill was introduced in Congress that would effectively ban the app from being used in the US (US News & World Report, Rubio.Senate.gov, The Week). The date the legislation would take effect would be immaterial, and the exact duration of TikTok not being able to operate in the US would be immaterial. The legislation need not explicitly name TikTok to count so long as the legislation's applicability to TikTok is clear.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 6.45%
No 93.55%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 93
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209
Number of Forecasts 150
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
2.
-0.0
3.
-0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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