Foxes ask:
When will new federal legislation enabling the executive branch to ban or prohibit TikTok from operating in the US become law?
Closed Apr 24, 2024 03:00PM UTC
On 5 March 2024, a bipartisan group of representatives introduced the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, legislation designed to empower the executive branch to, among other things, prohibit companies from certain countries from operating electronic applications in the US (NPR, CNN, House.gov - Select Committee on the CCP, House Select Committee on the CCP - H.R.7521 Text). The date the legislation would take effect and whether TikTok is actually banned or named outright in the legislation is immaterial.
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The question closed "Before 15 July 2024" with a closing date of 24 April 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 15 July 2024 | 79% | |
| Between 15 July 2024 and 4 November 2024 | 6% | |
| Between 5 November 2024 and 31 December 2024 | 3% | |
| Not before 1 January 2025 | 12% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 35 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 146 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 93 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 329 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
