Before 1 August 2026, will the Supreme Court rule in Trump v. V.O.S. Selections Inc. (V.O.S.) that all of President Trump's "trafficking tariffs" are either not authorized by the IEEPA or unconstitutional?

Started Sep 05, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC

V.O.S. and others sued the Trump administration over its "trafficking tariffs" impositions against Canada, China, and Mexico related to drug trafficking, asserting that the president's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose tariffs was unlawful and/or unconstitutional (White House - Executive Order 14194, White House - Executive Order 14325, White House - Executive Order 14256, Oregon Department of Justice, SCOTUSblog). Please note that this case was considered alongside Oregon v. Trump, which relates to "trafficking tariffs" and "reciprocal tariffs." V.O.S. and others won at both the trial (Court of International Trade) and appellate (Federal Circuit) levels, and the Trump administration appealed (Court of International Trade, Federal Circuit Court of Appeals, CNBC, Trump v. V.O.S. - Petition for Certiorari). Any decision related to "reciprocal tariffs" imposed by President Trump is immaterial (CBS News). If the Supreme Court remands the case for further considerations by a lower court without definitively ruling that the "trafficking tariffs" are either not authorized by the IEEPA or unconstitutional, the question will close "No." If the Supreme Court declines to hear the case, the question will close "No." Whether the Supreme Court rules that any or all "trafficking tariffs" may survive under another statute is immaterial.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 68.75% -1.00% -0.70% +7.15%
No 31.25% +1.00% +0.70% -7.15%

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