Trade tensions between the US and Canada remained high in the second half of 2025 (AP, Royal Bank of Canada, CBT News). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2026 and the outcome determined using data for the first half of 2026 as of the first release of June 2026 data on the Census Bureau's "Trade in Goods with Canada" page, expected in August 2026 (Census Bureau - US Trade in Goods with Canada, Census Bureau - Schedule of Foreign Trade Releases). The change will be calculated by dividing the total value of exports and imports for the first half of 2026 by the total value of exports and imports for the first half of 2025 and subtracting one. As of the launch of this question, in the first half of 2025, the total value of trade was $370,512.0 million, down from $382,060.4 million over the same time period in 2024, or -3.02%.

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