Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
« Back to challenges
Superforecasting® Workshops Challenge
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
About
Forecast on questions generated by participants of Good Judgment's public and private Superforecasting Workshops. For more information about workshops, please see:
Superforecasting Workshops
,
Upcoming Workshops
.
Questions
Leaderboard
Activity
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Non-US Politics (19)
only
Foreign Policy (16)
only
Security and Conflict (16)
only
Society (13)
only
Business (5)
only
Elections and Referenda (5)
only
Health (4)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (4)
only
Economic Indicators (3)
only
Technology (3)
only
US Politics (3)
only
Environment (1)
only
Sports (1)
only
US Policy (1)
only
Show more
Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the US publicly accuse a state actor of committing an act of cyberwar against critical infrastructure of the US before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
60
·
206
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Who will win the 2024 Panamanian presidential election?
Closing
May 05, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
26
·
146
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2024, will the Scottish Parliament vote in the affirmative for early elections?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
40
·
117
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will all military forces of the Russian Federation cease to be in the Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts in Ukraine?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
135
·
617
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the World Health Organization (WHO) declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 1 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
71
·
308
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Donald Trump be reelected as president of the US in 2024?
Closing
Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
862
·
2233
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the value of the "misery index" for the eurozone reach or exceed 17.5% for any month in 2023 or 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
58
·
251
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2024, will the US, IAEA, and/or a UN agency publicly state that it believes it more likely than not that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon capable of being detonated?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
133
·
536
« First
‹ Prev
1
2
3
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel