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Superforecasting® Workshops Challenge
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
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Forecast on questions generated by participants of Good Judgment's public and private Superforecasting Workshops. For more information about workshops, please see:
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Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the World Health Organization (WHO) declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 1 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
71
·
308
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the value of the "misery index" for the eurozone reach or exceed 17.5% for any month in 2023 or 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
58
·
250
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the US publicly accuse a state actor of committing an act of cyberwar against critical infrastructure of the US before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
60
·
204
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be more live births in the US in 2024 than in 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
60
·
111
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
93
·
246
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (Forces) of Iran and those of Pakistan resulting in two or more fatalities before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
65
·
133
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Poland publicly announce that it has joined or is joining the European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI) before 9 November 2024?
Closing
Nov 09, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
28
·
79
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will India lift its ban on the export of white rice from the country before 2 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
39
·
108
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will France publicly announce that it will resume providing official development assistance (ODA) to Mali before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
39
·
106
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Donald Trump be reelected as president of the US in 2024?
Closing
Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
861
·
2227
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