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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How far will the UAE national football team advance in the FIFA Arab Cup 2021?

21 Forecasters • 24 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 18, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Group Stage
45%
Quarterfinals
44%
Semi-finals (3rd or 4th Place)
10%
Finals (1st or 2nd Place)
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How much cash on hand will the following three Donald Trump-affiliated political action committees (PACs) have combined as of 31 December 2021?

24 Forecasters • 38 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $100 million
4%
Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive
55%
More than $150 million but less than $200 million
32%
$200 million or more
9%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will happen next to the United Arab Emirate's rolling 7-day average of confirmed cases of COVID-19?

54 Forecasters • 117 Forecasts
Started Aug 31, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 12, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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The 7-day average will reach 1,500 or higher
16%
The 7-day average will reach 500 or lower
62%
Neither will occur before 12 November 2021
22%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the 14-day average of COVID-19 hospitalized patients in California next reach or exceed 12,000?

52 Forecasters • 200 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Before 15 September 2021
0%
Between 15 September 2021 and 31 October 2021
1%
Between 1 November 2021 and 15 December 2021
7%
Between 16 December 2021 and 31 January 2022
12%
Not before 1 February 2022
80%
Private Superforecasting Workshop and belikewater ask:

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant other than Delta next represent more than 70.0% of total COVID-19 cases in the US?

102 Forecasters • 214 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 12, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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A two-week period ending 25 September 2021 or earlier
0%
A two-week period ending between 9 October 2021 and 20 November 2021
0%
A two-week period ending between 4 December 2021 and 15 January 2022
6%
A two-week period ending between 29 January 2022 and 12 March 2022
16%
Not before 12 March 2022
78%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many fatal COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough cases will be reported to the CDC as of 10 January 2022?

55 Forecasters • 153 Forecasts
Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 10, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 6,000
29%
Between 6,000 and 12,000, inclusive
55%
More than 12,000 but fewer than 18,000
16%
Between 18,000 and 24,000, inclusive
0%
More than 24,000 but fewer than 30,000
0%
30,000 or more
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?

20%

Chance
156 Forecasters • 269 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Abiy Ahmed cease to be the prime minister of Ethiopia by way of extraconstitutional events before 1 January 2022?

3%

Chance
50 Forecasters • 85 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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