Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
Challenges
Questions
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Challenges
Select All
Not Part of a Challenge
(5)
only
2025-26 Red Carpet Cha... (12)
only
2025-26 'Sportsball' C... (18)
only
2025 University Foreca... (5)
only
2025 World Elections C... (4)
only
2026-27 'Sportsball' C... (25)
only
2026 World Elections C... (20)
only
A Challenge of Interest! (25)
only
Foxes Ask (52)
only
Global Armed Conflict ... (28)
only
International Trade Ch... (17)
only
In the News 2025 (163)
only
In the News 2026 (301)
only
Middle East in Focus 2025 (20)
only
"Right!" said FRED: Q1... (14)
only
"Right!" said FRED: Q4... (13)
only
Russia-Ukraine Conflic... (8)
only
Second Term, First Yea... (26)
only
Superforecasting® Work... (19)
only
The Economist: 2025-26... (15)
only
The Economist: The Wor... (17)
only
Vehicle Innovation Cha... (16)
only
Xi Jinping's China in ... (9)
only
Show less
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Security and Conflict (28)
only
Foreign Policy (25)
only
Non-US Politics (21)
only
Society (7)
only
US Politics (4)
only
Technology (3)
only
US Policy (3)
only
Business (2)
only
Economic Indicators (2)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (1)
only
Sports (1)
only
Show more
Question
Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 1 December 2026?
Closing
Dec 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
16
·
19
Before 31 October 2026, will the International Criminal Court (ICC) issue a summons or arrest warrant for any US official for reasons related to US military strikes on suspected narcotraffickers in international waters in the Western Hemisphere?
Closing
Oct 31, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
11
·
16
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between the week beginning 3 January 2026 and the week beginning 26 December 2026, how many total fatalities will occur in the Africa Region due to conflicts and protests, according to ACLED?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
·
5
·
7
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between the week beginning 3 January 2026 and the week beginning 26 December 2026, how many total fatalities will occur in the Asia-Pacific Region due to conflicts and protests, according to ACLED?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
·
4
·
6
The Economist
and
stelamy
ask:
When will the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) next attempt to execute a military strike within the territory, airspace, or territorial waters of Iran?
Closing
Sep 07, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
33
·
41
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 28 November 2026, will the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (Forces) of India or Pakistan execute a military strike within the territory of the other, excluding Kashmiri territory?
Closing
Nov 28, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
23
·
31
The Economist
asks:
In the current conflict in Sudan, when will the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) sign or announce a ceasefire with an intended indefinite duration or an intended duration of at least 28 days?
Closing
Oct 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
85
·
127
Will the president of the United States and Nicolás Maduro meet in person before 19 March 2026?
Closing
Mar 19, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
69
·
102
When will the US president and Nicolás Maduro next hold a virtual or in-person meeting?
Closing
Jan 25, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
46
·
82
The Economist
asks:
Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Closing
Oct 09, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
321
·
395
1
2
3
Next ›
Last »
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel