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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?

2%

Chance
45 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Jan 21, 2021 01:00AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?

94%

Chance
90 Forecasters • 96 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will Nicaragua diplomatically recognize the People's Republic of China before 7 November 2021?

20%

Chance
31 Forecasters • 35 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?

45 Forecasters • 47 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 226 seats
0%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
17%
300 seats or more
82%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 15 July 2021, will an election be held for Moldova's parliament?

25 Forecasters • 28 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the PSRM will win the most seats
15%
Yes, and the PSRM will tie or not win the most
79%
No
6%
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

43 Forecasters • 54 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
60%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
30%
Not before 18 September 2021
10%

Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021?

66%

Chance
33 Forecasters • 38 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC

What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?

48 Forecasters • 70 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $75 billion
11%
Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive
17%
More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion
49%
Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive
16%
More than $150 billion
7%
SE_Meyer asks:

Which NFL team will win Super Bowl LV?

80 Forecasters • 123 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 08, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The AFC Champion
56%
The NFC Champion
44%
No Super Bowl will be played before 8 March 2021
0%
The Economist asks:

Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021?

49%

Chance
43 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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