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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the total number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan as of 31 July 2022?

20 Forecasters • 26 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 3.8 million
1%
Between 3.8 million and 4.3 million, inclusive
42%
More than 4.3 million but fewer than 4.8 million
47%
Between 4.8 million and 5.3 million, inclusive
9%
More than 5.3 million but fewer than 5.8 million
1%
Between 5.8 million and 6.3 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.3 million
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the daily reported natural gas in storage in the EU for 31 July 2022?

16 Forecasters • 22 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 650.0 TWh
0%
Between 650.0 TWh and 700.0 TWh, inclusive
1%
More than 700.0 TWh but less than 750.0 TWh
35%
Between 750.0 TWh and 800.0 TWh, inclusive
58%
More than 800.0 TWh
6%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the closing yield for the US 10-Year Treasury on 1 August 2022?

22 Forecasters • 32 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 2.60
0%
Between 2.60 and 3.00, inclusive
21%
More than 3.00 but less than 3.40
62%
Between 3.40 and 3.80, inclusive
16%
More than 3.80 but less than 4.20
1%
4.20 or higher
0%
Foxes Ask:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?

67%

Chance
25 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 16 December 2022?

14 Forecasters • 21 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.00%
0%
Between 1.00% and 1.50%, inclusive
4%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
17%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
31%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
29%
Between 3.00% and 3.50%, inclusive
15%
More than 3.50%
4%

What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 2 December 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?

26 Forecasters • 38 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $400 billion
1%
Between $400 billion and $800 billion, inclusive
26%
More than $800 billion but less than $1.2 trillion
45%
Between $1.2 trillion and $1.6 trillion, inclusive
28%
More than $1.6 trillion but less than $2.0 trillion
0%
Between $2.0 trillion and $2.4 trillion, inclusive
0%
More than $2.4 trillion
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in December 2022?

19 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 55 million, inclusive
0%
More than 55 million but fewer than 60 million
12%
Between 60 million and 65 million, inclusive
44%
More than 65 million but fewer than 70 million
41%
Between 70 million and 75 million, inclusive
3%
More than 75 million
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 8 November 2022, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

21 Forecasters • 29 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $3.00
0%
Between $3.00 and $3.50, inclusive
0%
More than $3.50 but less than $4.00
0%
Between $4.00 and $4.50, inclusive
40%
More than $4.50 but less than $5.00
39%
Between $5.00 and $5.50, inclusive
20%
More than $5.50 but less than $6.00
1%
Between $6.00 and $6.50, inclusive
0%
More than $6.50
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many US House seats will Republicans win in the 2022 midterm elections?

36 Forecasters • 57 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 207
0%
Between 207 and 217
1%
Between 218 and 228
39%
Between 229 and 239
48%
Between 240 and 250
12%
More than 250
0%
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