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How many business applications will be made in the US in 2022?

5 Forecasters • 5 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 4.2 million
5%
Between 4.2 million and 4.8 million, inclusive
24%
More than 4.8 million but fewer than 5.4 million
47%
Between 5.4 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.0 million
24%

What percentage of US retail sales will be made online in the fourth quarter of 2022?

5 Forecasters • 5 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 12.5%
25%
Between 12.5% and 13.5%, inclusive
43%
More than 13.5% but less than 14.5%
26%
Between 14.5% and 15.5%, inclusive
5%
More than 15.5%
1%

What will be the US office vacancy rate for the fourth quarter of 2022, according to Colliers?

6 Forecasters • 6 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Lower than 12.5%
23%
Between 12.5% and 14.0%, inclusive
52%
Higher than 14.0% but lower than 15.5%
25%
Between 15.5% and 17.0%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 17.0%
0%

What percentage of venture capital dollars will go to US startups with female-only founders in 2022, according to Crunchbase?

5 Forecasters • 5 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 2.5%
19%
Between 2.5% and 2.9%, inclusive
41%
More than 2.9% but less than 3.5%
39%
3.5% or more
1%

Before 1 September 2022, will Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan sign an agreement governing the filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) reservoir?

50%

Chance
3 Forecasters • 3 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
belikewater asks:

When will the 7-day moving average of daily cases of COVID-19 in the US reported to the CDC next reach or exceed 200,000?

7 Forecasters • 7 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Before 1 November 2021
36%
Between 1 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
6%
Between 1 January 2022 and 28 February 2022
1%
Between 1 March 2022 and 30 April 2022
0%
Not before 1 May 2022
57%

In United States v. Tsarnaev, will the Supreme Court reinstate the death sentence imposed against Boston Marathon bomber Dzhokhar Tsarnaev?

70%

Chance
37 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the 7-day average number of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 20 October 2021?

34 Forecasters • 54 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 1,500
34%
Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive
45%
More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500
19%
Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive
2%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500
0%
7,500 or more
0%

What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 March 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?

69 Forecasters • 102 Forecasts
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Lower than 40.0%
7%
Between 40.0% and 45.0%, inclusive
30%
Higher than 45.0% but lower than 50.0%
45%
Between 50.0% and 55.0%, inclusive
17%
Higher than 55.0%
1%
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