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What will be Rivian's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?

7 Forecasters • 13 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $50 billion
14%
Between $50 billion and $70 billion, inclusive
39%
More than $70 billion but less than $90 billion
41%
Between $90 billion and $110 billion, inclusive
4%
More than $110 billion
1%
Rivian will not trade publicly before 1 January 2022
1%
Ist191 asks:

Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before 1 January 2022?

62%

Chance
14 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

What will be the average temperature at Dubai International Airport between 1 May 2022 and 30 September 2022?

8 Forecasters • 9 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 34.5 degrees Celsius
1%
Between 34.5 and 35.5 degrees Celsius, inclusive
27%
More than 35.5 and but less than 36.5 degrees Celsius
72%
Between 36.5 and 37.5 degrees Celsius, inclusive
0%
More than 37.5 degrees Celsius
0%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Will single-use plastic bags be banned in all of the UAE before 8 January 2023?

50%

Chance
4 Forecasters • 4 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 08, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Will Emirates airline revenues for FY 2021-22 reach at least 75% of FY 2019-20 revenues, or AED 68,979 million?

100%

Chance
5 Forecasters • 6 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Will Dubai's EXPO 2020 attract 25 million visits?

0%

Chance
6 Forecasters • 6 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

How many business applications will be made in the US in 2022?

17 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 4.2 million
20%
Between 4.2 million and 4.8 million, inclusive
31%
More than 4.8 million but fewer than 5.4 million
31%
Between 5.4 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
16%
More than 6.0 million
2%

What percentage of US retail sales will be made online in the fourth quarter of 2022?

34 Forecasters • 43 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 12.5%
1%
Between 12.5% and 13.5%, inclusive
24%
More than 13.5% but less than 14.5%
39%
Between 14.5% and 15.5%, inclusive
19%
More than 15.5%
17%
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