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The Mack Institute asks:

Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will legislation enabling the creation of federal safety standards for autonomous vehicles (AVs) become law?

60%

Chance
137 Forecasters • 340 Forecasts
Started Jun 16, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

(Open: Exit Poll) Were you surprised by the outcome of the Senate and House elections?

25%

Chance
101 Forecasters • 108 Forecasts
Started Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 23, 2016 07:59AM UTC
&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

(Open: Exit Poll) Were you surprised by the outcome of the US Presidential election?

70%

Chance
197 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 23, 2016 07:59AM UTC

Open: Who will Donald Trump name as his vice presidential running mate?

65%

Chance
161 Forecasters • 234 Forecasts
Started May 20, 2016 06:30PM UTC
Closed Jul 19, 2016 06:26PM UTC

Open (Exit Poll): Were you surprised by the outcome of Iowa's caucuses?

35%

Chance
251 Forecasters • 274 Forecasts
Started Feb 02, 2016 04:43PM UTC
Closed Feb 09, 2016 07:59AM UTC
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