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Superforecasting® Workshops Challenge
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(7 months)
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Forecast on questions generated by participants of Good Judgment's public and private Superforecasting Workshops. For more information about workshops, please see:
Superforecasting Workshops
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Upcoming Workshops
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Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will happen next to the United Arab Emirate's rolling 7-day average of confirmed cases of COVID-19?
Closed
Sep 21, 2021 03:00AM UTC
·
58
·
162
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 18 December 2021, will the United Kingdom's Office for National Statistics (ONS) report that the percentage of working adults who "Worked from home and didn’t travel to work" fell to 15% or lower?
Closed
Oct 21, 2021 08:30AM UTC
·
69
·
143
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will the 14-day average of COVID-19 hospitalized patients in California next reach or exceed 12,000?
Closed
Jan 18, 2022 11:00PM UTC
·
89
·
637
The Economist
, Private
Superforecasting Workshop
and
belikewater
ask:
When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant other than Delta next represent more than 70.0% of total COVID-19 cases in the US?
Closed
Dec 19, 2021 03:00PM UTC
·
202
·
814
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 November 2021, will a new government mask mandate for individuals fully vaccinated for COVID-19 that includes indoor restaurants and/or retail establishments be imposed on New York City?
Closed
Nov 01, 2021 02:00PM UTC
·
93
·
377
The Economist
and Private
Superforecasting Workshop
ask:
Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?
Closed
Oct 01, 2022 02:00PM UTC
·
478
·
1229
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Abiy Ahmed cease to be the prime minister of Ethiopia by way of extraconstitutional events before 1 January 2022?
Closed
Jan 01, 2022 03:00PM UTC
·
69
·
156
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 2 October 2021, will the UN General Assembly recognize delegates from the National Unity Government (NUG) as representing Myanmar for the 76th General Assembly session?
Closed
Sep 14, 2021 03:00PM UTC
·
49
·
160
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will the FDA and/or CDC recommend that at least some Americans fully vaccinated for COVID-19 receive a COVID-19 vaccine booster shot?
Closed
Aug 13, 2021 02:00AM UTC
·
136
·
373
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Egypt and Ethiopia before 1 January 2022?
Closed
Jan 01, 2022 03:00PM UTC
·
98
·
190
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