Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
« Back to challenges
Superforecasting® Workshops Challenge
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
About
Forecast on questions generated by participants of Good Judgment's public and private Superforecasting Workshops. For more information about workshops, please see:
Superforecasting Workshops
,
Upcoming Workshops
.
Questions
Leaderboard
Activity
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Non-US Politics (17)
only
Foreign Policy (14)
only
Security and Conflict (14)
only
Society (11)
only
Elections and Referenda (5)
only
Business (4)
only
Health (4)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (4)
only
Economic Indicators (3)
only
Technology (3)
only
US Politics (3)
only
Sports (1)
only
US Policy (1)
only
Show more
Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many seats will the Identity & Democracy Group (ID) win in the 2024 European Parliament (EP) elections?
Closing
Jun 06, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
22
·
66
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be more live births in the US in 2024 than in 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
60
·
114
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
93
·
253
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2024, will NATO or a NATO member state publicly accuse Russia of attacking a crewed, non-Ukrainian-flagged vessel in the Black Sea outside of Ukrainian and Russian territorial waters?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
114
·
416
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will NATO and/or a NATO member state publicly accuse Republic of Serbia national military forces and/or law enforcement of either entering Kosovo without authorization or firing a weapon or weapons into Kosovo?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
67
·
249
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will France publicly announce that it will resume providing official development assistance (ODA) to Mali before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
39
·
108
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 29 September 2023 and 30 June 2024, will the UN Security Council increase the number of troops authorized in Somalia after 30 June 2024 under the mandate for the African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS)?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
26
·
106
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the US publicly accuse a state actor of committing an act of cyberwar against critical infrastructure of the US before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
60
·
211
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Who will win the 2024 Panamanian presidential election?
Closing
May 05, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
27
·
153
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2024, will the Scottish Parliament vote in the affirmative for early elections?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
41
·
121
« First
‹ Prev
1
2
3
Next ›
Last »
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel