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Superforecasting® Workshops Challenge
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
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Forecast on questions generated by participants of Good Judgment's public and private Superforecasting Workshops. For more information about workshops, please see:
Superforecasting Workshops
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Upcoming Workshops
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Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the closing value for the US dollar to Turkish lira exchange rate on 4 August 2023?
Closed
Aug 04, 2023 09:00PM UTC
·
59
·
203
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for July 2023 be greater than 3.6%?
Closed
Aug 04, 2023 12:30PM UTC
·
66
·
132
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the price of bitcoin on 8 August 2023?
Closed
Aug 09, 2023 06:59AM UTC
·
71
·
314
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will President Biden's approval rating be as of 8 August 2023, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Closed
Aug 09, 2023 02:00AM UTC
·
82
·
396
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will North Korea successfully put a satellite into orbit before 23 September 2023?
Closed
Sep 23, 2023 02:00PM UTC
·
89
·
263
SE_Meyer
asks:
What will be the closing yield for the Chinese 10-year bond on 10 November 2023?
Closed
Nov 10, 2023 04:00PM UTC
·
25
·
103
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
In the IEA's total hydrogen demand estimates for 2030, will the percentage difference between its Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS) and Announced Pledges Scenario (APS) be less in the 2023 WEO report compared to the 2022 WEO report?
Closed
Oct 01, 2023 02:00PM UTC
·
32
·
91
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
As of 1 January 2024, how many US states will have banned by law natural gas appliances in all new residential construction?
Closed
Jan 01, 2024 03:00PM UTC
·
49
·
168
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will federal legislation reducing or eliminating clean hydrogen and/or carbon sequestration tax credits become law before 1 January 2024?
Closed
Jan 01, 2024 03:00PM UTC
·
56
·
140
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the New Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the 2023 Alberta Legislative Assembly elections?
Closed
May 30, 2023 02:00AM UTC
·
23
·
53
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