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Superforecasting® Workshops Challenge
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
About
Forecast on questions generated by participants of Good Judgment's public and private Superforecasting Workshops. For more information about workshops, please see:
Superforecasting Workshops
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Upcoming Workshops
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Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 12 May 2023 and 12 November 2023, will violence related to anti-government protests and/or civil unrest result in 250 or more fatalities in Tunisia?
Closed
Nov 13, 2023 03:00PM UTC
·
36
·
100
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 11 November 2023, will Fitch, Moody's, and/or S&P announce that Tunisia has defaulted on its international debt?
Closed
Nov 11, 2023 03:00PM UTC
·
31
·
118
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will Kais Saied flee Tunisia or cease to be its president?
Closed
Feb 12, 2024 03:00PM UTC
·
46
·
172
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Ukraine retake control of either the Zaporizhzhia or Kherson Oblast before 1 November 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
Closed
Nov 01, 2023 02:00PM UTC
·
143
·
530
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many employed persons in the US will be members of unions in 2023, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)?
Closed
Jan 01, 2024 03:00PM UTC
·
30
·
115
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in continental Europe either directed or executed by one or more Saheli jihadist groups resulting in at least five fatalities before 1 January 2024?
Closed
Jan 01, 2024 03:00PM UTC
·
76
·
306
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Which country will win the 2023 UEFA Nations League Final?
Closed
Jun 18, 2023 09:30PM UTC
·
37
·
90
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Which country will win Eurovision 2023?
Closed
May 13, 2023 10:00PM UTC
·
42
·
100
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many total refugees and migrants will arrive in Europe from around the Mediterranean Sea in 2023?
Closed
Jan 01, 2024 03:00PM UTC
·
51
·
262
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will any territory in Crimea that was Russian-controlled before 24 February 2022 cease to be under "Assessed Russian Control" before 1 August 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)?
Closed
Aug 01, 2023 02:00PM UTC
·
115
·
376
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